Supreme court and gay marriage
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“The day will come. Moreover, even if there are four justices who might be inclined to do so, they won’t want to grant review unless they are confident that there is a fifth vote to overturn Obergefell.
Although we don’t know whether Davis has the votes, it remains possible. As a general practice, the court does not grant review without considering a case at at least two consecutive conferences.
One major criterion that they often consider is whether the lower courts are divided on the question that they are being asked to decide – a factor sometimes referred to as a “circuit split.” Davis does not argue that the courts of appeals are divided on same-sex marriage or on whether Obergefell should be overturned. “Now is not the time to let down our guard.”
Will the Supreme Court revisit its ruling on same-sex marriage?
Updated on Oct.
22 at 6:28 p.m.
In 2015, shortly after the Supreme Court recognized a constitutional right to same-sex marriage in Obergefell v. But just one day after Davis’ petition was distributed to the justices’ chambers, the court directed Moore and Ermold to file a response – a process that only requires the vote of at least one justice.
Represented by (among others) William Powell and the Georgetown University Law Center’s Institute for Constitutional Advocacy and Protection, Moore and Ermold called Davis’s case a “relatively easy” one “that does not merit” the justices’ intervention.
On Nov. 7, the Supreme Court will consider a request from that clerk, Kim Davis, to overturn their 2015 decision. Hodges, that defy God's design for marriage and family" a top priority.
Support for equal marriage rights softening
While a strong majority of Americans favor equal marriage rights, support appears to have softened in recent years, according to Gallup -- 60% of Americans supported same-sex marriages in 2015, rising to 70% support in 2025, but that level has plateaued since 2020.
Among Republicans, support has notably dipped over the past decade, down from 55% in 2021 to 41% this year, Gallup found.
Davis' petition argues the issue of marriage should be treated the same way the court handled the issue of abortion in its 2022 decision to overturn Roe v Wade.
Hodges, Davis v. "Just who do we think we are?"
More: Kennedy memoir sheds light on former center of Supreme Court gay rights, abortion rulingsWhen the court − which now has a 6-3 conservative majority − overturned Roe v. Davis is seen as one of the only Americans currently with legal standing to bring a challenge to the precedent.
"If there ever was a case of exceptional importance," Staver wrote, "the first individual in the Republic's history who was jailed for following her religious convictions regarding the historic definition of marriage, this should be it."
Lower courts have dismissed Davis' claims and most legal experts consider her bid a long shot.
First, they wrote, she didn’t make the “current version” of her First Amendment argument until relatively late in the game – in her reply in the 6th Circuit, “filed nine years into the case. While this moratorium was in effect, Davis refused to issue a marriage license to Moore and Ermold. 13, 2025, 1:19 PM), https://www.scotusblog.com/2025/08/will-the-supreme-court-revisit-its-ruling-on-same-sex-marriage/